{"id":632,"date":"2026-07-28T09:56:23","date_gmt":"2026-07-28T14:56:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/guestworkervisas.com\/blog\/?p=632"},"modified":"2026-07-28T10:01:31","modified_gmt":"2026-07-28T15:01:31","slug":"are-job-openings-turning-into-real-hiring-a-tech-sector-check","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guestworkervisas.com\/blog\/are-job-openings-turning-into-real-hiring-a-tech-sector-check\/","title":{"rendered":"Are Job Openings Turning Into Real Hiring? A Tech-Sector Check"},"content":{"rendered":"<style>.viz-root { color-scheme: light; --surface-1: #fcfcfb; --page: #f9f9f7; --text-primary: #0b0b0b; --text-secondary: #52514e; --text-muted: #898781; --gridline: #e1e0d9; --baseline: #c3c2b7; --border: rgba(11,11,11,0.10); --series-1: #2a78d6; --series-2: #eb6834; --callout-bg: #f0efec; } @media (prefers-color-scheme: dark) { :root:where(:not([data-theme=\"light\"])) .viz-root { color-scheme: dark; --surface-1: #1a1a19; --page: #0d0d0d; --text-primary: #ffffff; --text-secondary: #c3c2b7; --text-muted: #898781; --gridline: #2c2c2a; --baseline: #383835; --border: rgba(255,255,255,0.10); --series-1: #3987e5; --series-2: #d95926; --callout-bg: #232322; } } :root[data-theme=\"dark\"] .viz-root { color-scheme: dark; --surface-1: #1a1a19; --page: #0d0d0d; --text-primary: #ffffff; --text-secondary: #c3c2b7; --text-muted: #898781; --gridline: #2c2c2a; --baseline: #383835; --border: rgba(255,255,255,0.10); --series-1: #3987e5; --series-2: #d95926; --callout-bg: #232322; } .viz-root { background: var(--page); color: var(--text-primary); font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, \"Segoe UI\", sans-serif; padding: 24px; } .viz-root .wrap { max-width: 1040px; margin: 0 auto; } .viz-root h1 { font-size: 20px; margin: 0 0 4px; font-weight: 600; } .viz-root .subtitle { color: var(--text-secondary); font-size: 13px; margin: 0 0 20px; max-width: 70ch; line-height: 1.5; } .viz-root .stat-row { display: grid; grid-template-columns: repeat(3, 1fr); gap: 12px; margin-bottom: 20px; } .viz-root .stat-tile { background: var(--surface-1); border: 1px solid var(--border); border-radius: 10px; padding: 14px 16px; } .viz-root .stat-label { font-size: 12px; color: var(--text-secondary); margin-bottom: 6px; } .viz-root .stat-value { font-size: 22px; font-weight: 600; } .viz-root .stat-sub { font-size: 11px; color: var(--text-muted); margin-top: 4px; line-height: 1.4; } .viz-root .card { background: var(--surface-1); border: 1px solid var(--border); border-radius: 12px; padding: 18px 20px 12px; margin-bottom: 20px; } .viz-root .card-title { font-size: 14px; font-weight: 600; margin-bottom: 4px; } .viz-root .card-desc { font-size: 12px; color: var(--text-secondary); margin: 2px 0 10px; max-width: 70ch; line-height: 1.5; } .viz-root .legend { display: flex; gap: 14px; font-size: 12px; color: var(--text-secondary); margin-top: 10px; } .viz-root .legend-item { display: flex; align-items: center; gap: 6px; } .viz-root .legend-swatch { width: 14px; height: 2px; border-radius: 1px; display: inline-block; } .viz-root .panel-grid { display: grid; grid-template-columns: 1fr 1fr; gap: 20px; } @media (max-width: 720px) { .viz-root .panel-grid { grid-template-columns: 1fr; } .viz-root .stat-row { grid-template-columns: 1fr; } } .viz-root .panel-title { font-size: 12px; font-weight: 600; color: var(--text-secondary); margin-bottom: 6px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 0.02em; } .viz-root .chart-scroll { overflow: visible; } .viz-root svg { display: block; overflow: visible; max-width: 100%; height: auto; } .viz-root .gridline { stroke: var(--gridline); stroke-width: 1; } .viz-root .baseline { stroke: var(--baseline); stroke-width: 1; } .viz-root .axis-label { fill: var(--text-muted); font-size: 9px; } .viz-root .annot-line { stroke: var(--text-muted); stroke-width: 1; stroke-dasharray: 3,3; } .viz-root .annot-label { fill: var(--text-muted); font-size: 9px; } .viz-root .callout { background: var(--callout-bg); border-radius: 8px; padding: 10px 14px; font-size: 12px; line-height: 1.55; color: var(--text-secondary); margin-top: 10px; } .viz-root .callout b { color: var(--text-primary); } .viz-root footer.foot { font-size: 11px; color: var(--text-muted); text-align: center; margin-top: 24px; }<\/style>\n<div class=\"viz-root\">\n<div class=\"wrap\">\n<h1>Are job openings turning into real hiring? A tech-sector check<\/h1>\n<p class=\"subtitle\">Testing whether elevated JOLTS job openings actually convert to hires in tech-heavy sectors, and how H-1B tech hiring volume compares to the broader trend. Seasonally adjusted BLS JOLTS data (Information &amp; Professional\/Business Services) and DOL H-1B LCA disclosure data (Computer &amp; Mathematical occupations, SOC 15-xxxx), 2020-2026.<\/p>\n<div class=\"stat-row\">\n<div class=\"stat-tile\">\n<div class=\"stat-label\">Info sector: openings vs hires gap (last 12mo avg)<\/div>\n<div class=\"stat-value\">+0.8 pts<\/div>\n<div class=\"stat-sub\">Openings rate minus hires rate. Positive = postings outpacing hires.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"stat-tile\">\n<div class=\"stat-label\">Prof\/Biz Services: same gap (last 12mo avg)<\/div>\n<div class=\"stat-value\">+0.9 pts<\/div>\n<div class=\"stat-sub\">Pre-2020, this sector&#8217;s hires rate typically ran ABOVE openings.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"stat-tile\">\n<div class=\"stat-label\">H-1B tech volume vs JOLTS tech hires, latest<\/div>\n<div class=\"stat-value\">101 vs 92<\/div>\n<div class=\"stat-sub\">Mar 2026 index values (Jan 2020 = 100 each)<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"card\">\n<div class=\"card-title\">Openings rate vs. hires rate, by sector<\/div>\n<p class=\"card-desc\">If openings run persistently above hires, postings aren&#8217;t converting into hires at the historical rate. Pre-2020, hires typically ran <em>above<\/em> openings in both sectors below &mdash; that relationship has flipped since.<\/p>\n<div class=\"panel-grid\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"panel-title\">Information<\/div>\n<div class=\"chart-scroll\"><svg width=\"440\" height=\"220\" viewBox=\"0 0 440 220\"><line x1=\"36\" x2=\"428\" y1=\"196\" y2=\"196\" class=\"gridline\"><\/line><text x=\"30\" y=\"199\" class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\">0.0%<\/text><line x1=\"36\" x2=\"428\" y1=\"134.66666666666666\" y2=\"134.66666666666666\" class=\"gridline\"><\/line><text x=\"30\" y=\"137.66666666666666\" class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\">2.3%<\/text><line x1=\"36\" x2=\"428\" y1=\"73.33333333333331\" y2=\"73.33333333333331\" class=\"gridline\"><\/line><text x=\"30\" y=\"76.33333333333331\" class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\">4.7%<\/text><line x1=\"36\" x2=\"428\" y1=\"12\" y2=\"12\" class=\"gridline\"><\/line><text x=\"30\" y=\"15\" class=\"axis-label\" 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class=\"legend-item\"><span class=\"legend-swatch\" style=\"background:var(--series-1)\"><\/span><span>Openings rate<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"legend-item\"><span class=\"legend-swatch\" style=\"background:var(--series-2)\"><\/span><span>Hires rate<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"card\">\n<div class=\"card-title\">H-1B tech hiring volume vs. JOLTS tech-sector hires (indexed, Jan 2020 = 100)<\/div>\n<div class=\"legend\">\n<div class=\"legend-item\"><span class=\"legend-swatch\" style=\"background:var(--series-1)\"><\/span><span>JOLTS tech-sector hires (indexed)<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"legend-item\"><span class=\"legend-swatch\" style=\"background:var(--series-2)\"><\/span><span>H-1B tech LCA volume (indexed)<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"card-desc\">H-1B volume = certified LCAs for Computer &amp; Mathematical occupations, by decision month (DOL disclosure data). JOLTS = combined Hires level, Information + Professional\/Business Services (BLS). Both indexed to their own Jan 2020 value so two different-unit series can share one axis.<\/p>\n<div class=\"chart-scroll\"><svg width=\"900\" height=\"300\" viewBox=\"0 0 900 300\"><line x1=\"40\" x2=\"884\" y1=\"272\" y2=\"272\" class=\"gridline\"><\/line><text x=\"32\" y=\"275\" class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\">0<\/text><line x1=\"40\" x2=\"884\" y1=\"220.8\" y2=\"220.8\" class=\"gridline\"><\/line><text x=\"32\" y=\"223.8\" class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\">50<\/text><line x1=\"40\" x2=\"884\" y1=\"169.6\" y2=\"169.6\" class=\"gridline\"><\/line><text x=\"32\" y=\"172.6\" class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\">100<\/text><line x1=\"40\" x2=\"884\" y1=\"118.4\" y2=\"118.4\" class=\"gridline\"><\/line><text x=\"32\" y=\"121.4\" class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\">150<\/text><line x1=\"40\" x2=\"884\" y1=\"67.19999999999999\" y2=\"67.19999999999999\" class=\"gridline\"><\/line><text x=\"32\" y=\"70.19999999999999\" class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\">200<\/text><line x1=\"40\" x2=\"884\" y1=\"16\" y2=\"16\" class=\"gridline\"><\/line><text x=\"32\" y=\"19\" class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"end\">250<\/text><line x1=\"40\" x2=\"884\" y1=\"272\" y2=\"272\" class=\"baseline\"><\/line><text x=\"40\" y=\"288\" class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\">2020<\/text><text x=\"176.86486486486487\" y=\"288\" class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\">2021<\/text><text x=\"313.72972972972974\" y=\"288\" class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\">2022<\/text><text x=\"450.59459459459464\" y=\"288\" class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\">2023<\/text><text x=\"587.4594594594595\" y=\"288\" class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\">2024<\/text><text x=\"724.3243243243244\" y=\"288\" class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\">2025<\/text><text x=\"861.1891891891893\" y=\"288\" class=\"axis-label\" text-anchor=\"middle\">2026<\/text><line x1=\"826.972972972973\" x2=\"826.972972972973\" y1=\"16\" y2=\"272\" class=\"annot-line\"><\/line><text x=\"830.972972972973\" y=\"26\" class=\"annot-label\">Shutdown \/ backlog<\/text><path d=\"M40.00 169.60 L51.41 173.08 L62.81 174.31 L74.22 200.73 L85.62 183.83 L97.03 169.91 L108.43 172.47 L119.84 168.99 L131.24 168.68 L142.65 168.88 L154.05 163.35 L165.46 167.86 L176.86 166.32 L188.27 167.55 L199.68 167.65 L211.08 164.68 L222.49 168.68 L233.89 162.12 L245.30 153.52 L256.70 162.53 L268.11 152.29 L279.51 147.07 L290.92 146.66 L302.32 154.65 L313.73 157.11 L325.14 151.68 L336.54 153.42 L347.95 156.80 L359.35 153.63 L370.76 157.00 L382.16 158.85 L393.57 165.61 L404.97 167.35 L416.38 168.47 L427.78 168.88 L439.19 176.97 L450.59 175.95 L462.00 178.51 L473.41 178.00 L484.81 170.21 L496.22 182.09 L507.62 179.64 L519.03 182.20 L530.43 182.60 L541.84 184.24 L553.24 180.04 L564.65 192.74 L576.05 178.00 L587.46 178.92 L598.86 179.23 L610.27 177.79 L621.68 185.47 L633.08 182.81 L644.49 190.39 L655.89 190.90 L667.30 184.96 L678.70 183.94 L690.11 189.67 L701.51 192.84 L712.92 183.63 L724.32 186.91 L735.73 181.99 L747.14 178.20 L758.54 175.54 L769.95 180.04 L781.35 179.84 L792.76 180.35 L804.16 181.27 L815.57 183.83 L826.97 184.55 L838.38 185.27 L849.78 187.01 L861.19 180.97 L872.59 192.03 L884.00 177.38 \" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"var(--series-1)\" stroke-width=\"2\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"><\/path><circle cx=\"884\" cy=\"177.3824\" r=\"4\" fill=\"var(--series-1)\" stroke=\"var(--surface-1)\" stroke-width=\"2\"><\/circle><path d=\"M40.00 169.60 L51.41 145.13 L62.81 105.19 L74.22 115.94 L85.62 110.92 L97.03 109.90 L108.43 165.50 L119.84 179.23 L131.24 152.50 L142.65 128.64 L154.05 174.21 L165.46 116.35 L176.86 198.68 L188.27 172.47 L199.68 133.15 L211.08 265.96 L222.49 265.86 L233.89 264.83 L245.30 178.30 L256.70 174.00 L268.11 172.88 L279.51 165.50 L290.92 172.16 L302.32 159.26 L313.73 172.57 L325.14 157.41 L336.54 111.95 L347.95 103.45 L359.35 68.02 L370.76 47.33 L382.16 174.52 L393.57 166.94 L404.97 182.30 L416.38 107.75 L427.78 113.59 L439.19 119.63 L450.59 191.41 L462.00 173.80 L473.41 132.74 L484.81 141.44 L496.22 108.26 L507.62 110.00 L519.03 193.05 L530.43 161.00 L541.84 152.19 L553.24 161.20 L564.65 197.15 L576.05 205.64 L587.46 193.66 L598.86 176.05 L610.27 157.62 L621.68 137.55 L633.08 84.92 L644.49 77.95 L655.89 173.80 L667.30 174.41 L678.70 176.56 L690.11 171.65 L701.51 195.40 L712.92 181.17 L724.32 186.09 L735.73 172.67 L747.14 156.49 L758.54 120.96 L769.95 88.09 L781.35 80.20 L792.76 173.08 L804.16 187.52 L815.57 179.84 L826.97 268.31 L838.38 40.17 L849.78 105.40 L861.19 177.28 L872.59 185.27 L884.00 168.99 \" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"var(--series-2)\" stroke-width=\"2\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"><\/path><circle cx=\"884\" cy=\"168.9856\" r=\"4\" fill=\"var(--series-2)\" stroke=\"var(--surface-1)\" stroke-width=\"2\"><\/circle><\/svg><\/div>\n<div class=\"callout\"><b>Oct-Nov 2025 spike\/dip:<\/b> the Oct 2025 federal lapse in appropriations paused DOL case processing; decisions backlogged and were pushed through in November once government reopened. Read that pair of months as one disrupted period, not real volume swings.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<footer class=\"foot\">Data: BLS JOLTS (national industry series, seasonally adjusted) &middot; DOL OFLC H-1B\/H-1B1\/E-3 LCA disclosure data, FY2020-FY2026.<\/footer>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Are job openings turning into real hiring? A tech-sector check Testing whether elevated JOLTS job openings actually convert to hires in tech-heavy sectors, and how H-1B tech hiring volume compares to the broader trend. Seasonally adjusted BLS JOLTS data (Information &amp; Professional\/Business Services) and DOL H-1B LCA disclosure data (Computer &amp; Mathematical occupations, SOC 15-xxxx), &#8230; <a title=\"Are Job Openings Turning Into Real Hiring? A Tech-Sector Check\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/guestworkervisas.com\/blog\/are-job-openings-turning-into-real-hiring-a-tech-sector-check\/\" aria-label=\"Read more about Are Job Openings Turning Into Real Hiring? A Tech-Sector Check\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,24,25],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-632","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-h-1b","category-jolts","category-labor-market-analysis"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guestworkervisas.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/632","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guestworkervisas.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guestworkervisas.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guestworkervisas.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guestworkervisas.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=632"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/guestworkervisas.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/632\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":637,"href":"https:\/\/guestworkervisas.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/632\/revisions\/637"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guestworkervisas.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=632"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guestworkervisas.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=632"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guestworkervisas.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=632"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}