Nonimmigrant guest worker visa totals

Work Visa Trends (1987-2024):

  • Total work visas issued: 10.4 million over 38 years
  • 2024 represents a record high: 749,397 work visas (H-1B, H-2A, H-2B, L-1 combined)
  • 48.8% increase from pre-COVID average (2015-2019)

2024 Breakdown:

  • H-2A (Agricultural): 315,328 (42% of work visas) – the largest category
  • H-1B (Specialty): 219,659 (29%)
  • H-2B (Temp Non-Ag): 139,541 (19%)
  • L-1 (Intracompany): 71,799 (10%)

Work Visas as % of Job Creation:

  • 2024: 34% – work visas represent over one-third of all jobs created
  • 2019: 27% (pre-COVID peak)
  • 2010s average: ~15-20%
  • 1990s average: ~5-10%

Notable Patterns:

  1. H-2A visas have surged – from ~6,000 in 1991 to 315,000 in 2024
  2. H-1B has plateaued around 180-220k since 2007 (due to statutory caps)
  3. The ratio of work visas to job creation has grown dramatically – from single digits in the 1990s to over 30% in 2024

The analysis reveals that work visa issuances, particularly in agricultural and temporary worker categories, have grown substantially relative to overall job creation. This is especially pronounced in 2024.

 

visa_analysis_detailed

Job Creation according to claude

Overall Average: +1.52M jobs/year (1950-2025)

Key Findings:

📊 Central Tendencies:

  • Mean: +1.52M jobs/year
  • Median: +2.01M jobs/year
  • The median is higher than the mean because extreme job losses (recessions) pull the average down

📈 Job Gains vs Losses:

  • 62 years had job gains (81.6%)
  • 14 years had job losses (18.4%)

🔵🔴 By Political Party:

  • Democrat years: +2.31M jobs/year average (36 years)
  • Republican years: +0.80M jobs/year average (40 years)

📅 By Decade:

  • 1950s: +0.89M/year
  • 1960s: +1.48M/year
  • 1970s: +1.70M/year
  • 1980s: +2.08M/year (strong growth)
  • 1990s: +2.11M/year (Clinton boom)
  • 2000s: +0.72M/year (dot-com bust + Great Recession)
  • 2010s: +1.65M/year (recovery)
  • 2020s: +1.50M/year (COVID volatility)

Extremes:

  • Best: 2022 (+6.25M jobs) – Post-COVID recovery
  • Worst: 2021 (-9.76M jobs) – COVID impact

The +1.52M average provides good context for the chart – any year above this line is above-average job creation, and the 1980s-1990s were particularly strong decades for employment growth!